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    1. Home
    2. Federal Procurement Forecasts
    Solutions

    Procurement forecasts, before anything is solicited.

    samsearch aggregates the procurement forecasts federal agencies publish, the requirements they intend to buy in coming fiscal years, and makes them searchable in one place. Each entry carries the agency, an estimated value band, the expected award quarter, NAICS and PSC codes, and the set-aside the agency currently intends to apply.

    None of it has been solicited. That is the entire point, and it is the only window in which a requirement can still be shaped.

    Book a Demo

    The earliest signal a requirement exists

    Agencies are required to publish what they intend to buy. Almost nobody reads it, because it is published in dozens of incompatible places.

    ForecastsPre-solicitationFY28 and later
    General Services AdministrationAward Q1 FY28
    Construction management, land port of entry
    $100M to $249MNAICS 236220Small business set-aside
    Department of the Air ForceAward Q3 FY28
    Range instrumentation sustainment
    $25M to $50MNAICS 541330Full and open
    NAVSEAAward Q1 FY29
    LSD-class pierside repair
    $50M to $100MNAICS 3366118(a) competitive
    Nothing here is solicited yet, which is the point.

    One forecast per agency, no two alike

    They land as spreadsheets, PDFs and bespoke web tools. Different columns, different update cadence, different idea of what a category is. Some refresh quarterly, some annually, some when somebody remembers.

    The information is genuinely early

    A forecast entry frequently exists a year or more before a solicitation. Sometimes before the requirement has been fully defined.

    Normalised into one searchable set

    samsearch turns them into consistent records, searchable in plain English alongside every other source, and graded against your company profile.

    Agency forecast index

    Fragmentation, not secrecy

    None of this data is hidden. It is public and nobody has the patience to assemble it, which is why so few companies act on it.

    What forecasts are actually for

    Deciding where to invest capture

    A forecast gives you the size and timing of a requirement before anyone has committed anything. That is what you need to choose the two or three pursuits that deserve a year.

    Getting into market research

    Forecast entries are followed by sources sought notices and requests for information. Being on the agency's radar before that stage is what makes a response to it credible.

    Influencing the set-aside

    Set-aside intent on a forecast is intent, not a decision. Demonstrating during market research that capable small businesses exist is how a full and open requirement becomes a set-aside one.

    Teaming while the field is open

    The partners worth having commit early. A requirement identified from a forecast is one where you are assembling a team rather than asking to join one.

    Building a real pipeline forecast

    Expected award quarters and value bands are the only forward-looking numbers in federal contracting. They are what makes a revenue projection something other than a guess.

    Knowing what will not happen

    Forecasts slip and get cancelled. Watching one across successive publications tells you which. A requirement that has moved right three years running is telling you something.

    Graded against your profile, before anyone else looks

    A forecast list is thousands of rows. The value is in the twenty that are yours.

    RecommendationsTodayProfile: 561210 · SDVOSB
    12,481read today6worth your time
    Federal
    Facilities operations and maintenance, Fort Detrick
    Matches three past-performance references and your 561210 set-aside status.
    91%
    SLED
    Districtwide HVAC preventive maintenance
    Same scope as your Mesa award, and you hold a licence in the state.
    84%
    Every score cites the passage it was graded from, so you can disagree with it.

    Scored on the requirement

    Matched against your capabilities and past performance with the reasoning cited, so you can judge whether a one-line forecast description is really your work.

    Set-aside intent weighted

    A requirement intended as a small-business set-aside is worth more to a small business than a larger one marked full and open. The grading knows the difference.

    Filtered to your market first

    Agency, NAICS, PSC, value band and place of performance applied before scoring, so the watchlist stays a watchlist.

    Movement tracked, not just entries

    When an entry changes value, quarter or set-aside intent between publications, that change is itself the signal. It is surfaced rather than silently overwritten.

    Alerts on what your agencies say they will buy

    Agencies refresh forecasts on their own schedules. Watching by hand means re-checking dozens of sources on no schedule at all.

    Saved searchDaily digestFacilities O&M, AZ + NM
    matched your keywordsAI qualificationwere worth sending
    • FederalGrounds maintenance, four VA campuses88%
    • SLEDCustodial services, Pima County facilities81%
    • EducationRoofing replacement, Tolleson USD76%
    An alert you can act on, rather than 142 to triage.
    1. 01

      Save your market

      Agency, NAICS, PSC, value band, or a plain-English description of the work you want. Most teams save one per target agency.

    2. 02

      Every forecast is re-read on publication

      New entries are picked up, and existing entries are compared against the previous version so changes are caught.

    3. 03

      AI qualifies before sending

      Each entry is graded against your profile, so the digest is requirements worth two years of attention rather than every row an agency published.

    4. 04

      You start capture years early

      The alert carries the value band, the expected quarter, the set-aside intent and the contact where one is published.

    When it becomes real, you are already writing

    A forecast entry becomes a sources sought, then a draft RFP, then a solicitation. Each step is tracked on the same pursuit.

    ProposalVolume I, TechnicalGrounded, not invented
    Compliance matrix
    L.3.1Technical approach
    L.3.2Key personnel
    L.3.3Transition plan
    M.2Past performance
    Drafting L.3.3
    Every claim traces to your approved content or a requirement in the solicitation.

    Sources sought responses drafted

    The first written thing most requirements need is a capability statement responding to market research. Drafted from your approved content and the forecast entry.

    The capture record carries forward

    Notes, documents and decisions accumulated across two years stay attached to the pursuit rather than scattered across inboxes.

    Linked to the solicitation when it lands

    The forecast entry, the sources sought notice and the eventual solicitation are connected, so the history is one thread rather than three records.

    A grounded first draft

    Structured to the solicitation's own instructions, written from your approved content and past performance, with the compliance matrix live against it.

    What a forecast entry carries

    The requirement
    • Agency, sub-agency and requiring office
    • Description of the work
    • NAICS and PSC classification
    • Place of performance
    • New requirement or a follow-on
    Timing and money
    • Estimated value, usually as a band
    • Expected solicitation quarter
    • Expected award quarter
    • Anticipated period of performance
    • Fiscal year
    The competition
    • Intended set-aside, where stated
    • Anticipated competition type
    • Contract vehicle, where already chosen
    • Point of contact, where published
    • Linked sources sought notices

    Related searches

    Recompetes

    Contracts running out, the other early signal, derived from award data.

    →

    Federal contract search

    Sources sought, RFIs and the eventual solicitation, on SAM.gov.

    →

    Federal awards and spending

    What an agency has actually bought, to sanity-check what it says it will buy.

    →

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What is a federal procurement forecast?
    A procurement forecast is an agency's published statement of the requirements it expects to solicit in coming fiscal years, intended to give industry, and small businesses in particular, time to prepare. Entries typically carry a description, an estimated value band, NAICS and PSC codes, an expected award quarter and the set-aside the agency currently intends to apply.
    Where do agencies publish procurement forecasts?
    Each agency publishes its own, and there is no central location. They appear as spreadsheets, PDFs and agency-specific web tools with different columns, different update schedules and different category schemes. That fragmentation, rather than secrecy, is why forecasts are so underused. The data is public and almost nobody has the patience to assemble it.
    How far ahead do forecasts look?
    Typically one to three fiscal years. A forecast entry frequently exists a year or more before a solicitation, and sometimes before the requirement is fully defined. That is early enough to matter: market research, sources sought notices and set-aside decisions all happen inside that window.
    How reliable are procurement forecasts?
    Directionally useful and specifically unreliable. Dates slip, values change and requirements are cancelled or consolidated. They should be read as intent rather than commitment. The pattern across successive publications is often more informative than any single entry: a requirement that has moved right three years running is telling you something the current entry does not.
    Can I influence a requirement at the forecast stage?
    That is the main reason to watch forecasts. Between a forecast entry and a solicitation, the agency conducts market research, frequently through a sources sought notice or a request for information. That is where the scope, the contract type and the set-aside decision are shaped, and it is the last point at which industry input has any effect on the eventual competition.
    How is a forecast different from a recompete?
    A forecast is what an agency says it intends to buy. A recompete is what an existing contract's expiry implies it will have to buy again, derived from award data rather than from a published statement. They overlap, since many forecast entries are follow-ons, but each catches requirements the other misses, so most capture teams watch both.
    Does the set-aside on a forecast entry mean it will be set aside?
    No, it means the agency currently intends it. Set-aside decisions are made during market research and change regularly, in both directions. Demonstrating during that stage that two or more capable small businesses exist is the standard mechanism by which a full and open requirement becomes a set-aside one, which is why being present at that point matters.
    Can I get alerted when new forecast entries match my business?
    Yes. Save a search by agency, NAICS, PSC, value band or plain-English capability description, and be notified when new entries are published or existing ones change. Alerts are qualified against your profile before they are sent. Because agencies refresh forecasts on their own schedules, alerting is the only practical way to watch them without re-checking dozens of sources by hand.
    Are changes between forecast publications tracked?
    Yes, and the change is often more informative than the entry. When an estimated value, expected quarter or set-aside intent moves between publications, that movement is surfaced rather than silently overwritten. A requirement that has slipped three years running is behaving differently from one that has just been added.
    Are forecasts useful for small businesses specifically?
    They are arguably most useful for small businesses, because the programme exists in part for that purpose. A small company cannot compete on the thirty-day sprint after a solicitation posts, but it can compete on a requirement it identified two years earlier, built a team for and shaped through market research. Forecasts are how that starts.
    Can samsearch help me respond to a sources sought notice?
    Yes. The first written thing most requirements need is a capability statement responding to market research, and that is drafted from your approved content and the forecast entry. The forecast, the sources sought notice and the eventual solicitation stay linked as one thread rather than three unrelated records.
    Can I search forecasts alongside open solicitations?
    Yes. Forecasts sit alongside federal notices, SLED, education, DIBBS, GSA eBuy, grants, SBIR and STTR, recompetes and subcontracting, searchable together or separately. Forecast entries can be moved onto the same pipeline as live pursuits, so a long capture is tracked rather than remembered.

    See what your agencies say they will buy.

    A demo runs live agency forecasts against your capabilities and your target market.

    Book a Demo
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