USGS Outlook Projects Critical Mineral Capacity Growth Through 2030
The U.S. Geological Survey projects global production-capacity growth through 2030 for eight critical minerals, including increases of 20% for natural graphite and 18% for potash. The outlook flags supply-chain exposure from production concentrated in China and Brazil, offering procurement teams planning insight but announcing no solicitation or award.
Key Signals
- USGS projects natural graphite production capacity to grow 20% through 2030
- Potash production capacity is projected to increase 18%
- Production concentration in China and Brazil raises supply-chain exposure
- Outlook can inform federal sourcing-risk reviews and long-term supply planning
"This information will help plan the policies and investments that will ensure supplies of critical minerals to drive the U.S. economy and national security."
On November 12, 2026, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) released its World Minerals Outlook, projecting global production-capacity growth through 2030 for eight critical minerals. The outlook offers federal procurement professionals, prime contractors, and suppliers a forward-looking view of mineral availability and potential sourcing risks. Its projections are relevant to programs that depend on critical-mineral inputs, even though the release does not establish a new acquisition, funded program, or contract opportunity.
Agencies
- U.S. Geological Survey
- U.S. Department of the Interior
- U.S. Department of State
Locations
- United States
- China
- Brazil