samsearch
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    01InfluenceShape the requirement before it's on your competitor's radar.
    Signal
    Recompete window opens in 42 days
    Facilities maintenance IDIQ$8.4M
    Forecast
    Agency spend up 18% next FY
    DoD facilitiesQ3 window
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    Federal91%
    Network engineering support — GSA MAS
    GSA541512
    SLED88%
    Custodial services — Fairfax County Public Schools
    K-12561720
    DIBBS79%
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    DLANSN 5330
    03AnalyzeExtract requirements and build the compliance matrix.
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    L.2.1Technical approachVol I
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    Requirements extracted38
    Mapped to Section L/M38
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    “Do we meet the small business set-aside?”
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    This week
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    Drafting · Volume I
    247 words
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    UEIJK4M8…
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    1. Home
    2. Platform
    3. Influence
    Platform · 01 Influence

    Shape the requirement before it's on your competitor's radar.

    Recompetes, forecasts, incumbent intelligence, and buying signals.

    ForecastAward Q1 FY28
    Construction management · Coburn Gore land port of entry
    AgencyGeneral Services AdministrationNAICS236220Estimated value$100M–$249M
    RecompeteExpires Oct 2028
    Structured optical materials and processing
    AgencyDept of the Air ForceContract value$19.9MRecompete probability
    ForecastAward Q2 FY29
    LSD-class ship pierside repair
    AgencyNAVSEANAICS336611Estimated value$50M–$100M

    Every surface it covers

    Each of these is a page of its own, with the detail for that market.

    Federal Recompetes

    Track expiring contracts before they hit the market again and plan capture earlier.

    →

    AI Procurement Forecasts

    See agency buying plans and pre-RFP timing so your team can position earlier.

    →

    Market Watch

    Track market activity, buyers, competitors, and expiring demand in real time.

    →

    Small Business Specialists

    Identify specialists and set-aside-aware contacts who shape small business buying paths.

    →

    Why this is hard

    By the time a solicitation is published, the requirement is usually already written, often with an incumbent's help. The work that decides the award happened months earlier, against data that is public but scattered.

    The specification is already written

    A published RFP is the end of a conversation, not the start of one. Teams that first see work on SAM.gov are responding to someone else's requirement with three weeks on the clock.

    The timing is never announced

    Agencies do not publish when a contract will be re-competed. It has to be inferred from the award data: period of performance, option years, and how that office has behaved on the last few hundred awards.

    The signals are public but unreadable

    Forecasts, expiring contracts, incumbency and spend history are all public, and all in different places and formats. Assembling them into "is this winnable" is days of work per opportunity.

    What Influence does

    Incumbent depth

    • Full profiles, offer counts, competition and turnover rates.

    Verified timing

    • Analyst-verified re-solicitation windows, not guesses.

    Buying signals

    • Agency forecasts and spend patterns, tracked continuously.

    What you get out of it

    A scored recompete, not a row in a spreadsheet

    • Each predicted recompete carries an overall score with its two components broken out: contract readiness (timing, award type, extent competed, number of offers) and the agency's buying pattern.

    The agency's actual behaviour

    • Five years of awards for that sub-agency, PSC and NAICS combination: repeat-buying rate, competition rate, vendor turnover and whether contract duration matches the historical pattern.

    The incumbent, named

    • Company, UEI, location, business size and line of business, plus the incumbent award itself, so you can read what they were actually bought to do.

    Who signs it

    • The contracting officers at the awarding office, with their emails, so the pre-RFP conversation has somewhere to start.

    A written read on whether to bid

    • Where the score came from, what is in your favour, what the risks are, and what to do next, in sentences, against the fields it was derived from.
    Predictive recompeteEnds in 21 days
    Global Strike Range Equipment and Systems Support
    AgencyDept of the ArmyAward IDW31P4Q25F0046Value$4.11M
    69Overall
    16Contract readiness
    98Agency buying pattern
    • Competition rate91%
    • Vendor turnover78%
    • Repeat buying100%
    Incumbent · Georgia Tech Applied Research Corp, other than small business · 318 awards over 5 years

    Know who holds it, two years early

    A recompete is not won against a requirement. It is won against whoever has been performing it for five years.

    IncumbentFrom award dataSP0600-D-1234 · expires in 14 months
    IncumbentYou
    Years on this requirement50
    Awards with this agency82
    Business size at awardLargeSmall
    Set-aside eligibleNoSDVOSB
    Past performance in scopeExtensive3 references
    Two advantages you do not have, and two they cannot get. That is the bid decision, two years early.

    Built from published award data

    The awardee, its size and set-aside status at award, the option years exercised, and every other contract it holds with the same agency. No relationship required to learn any of it.

    Drawn as a comparison, not a profile

    Who they are matters less than where you lose. The gaps you cannot close in a year are the ones that decide whether to bid at all.

    Their advantages have expiry dates

    Size status changes, set-asides move, and programme staff rotate. Watching a contract for two years shows you which advantages are structural and which are temporary.

    The clock, drawn to scale

    Capture on a serious recompete takes a year. The response window takes thirty days.

    RecompeteSP0600-D-1234 · base operations
    Capture windowAwardedOption 1Option 2Option 3ExpiresToday
    IncumbentOn recordContract value$42MExpiresin 14 monthsRecompete probability%
    Surfaced 14 months out, while the requirement can still be shaped.

    Expiry computed, not announced

    Period of performance and option years are published on the award. samsearch derives the end date from them rather than waiting for a notice that arrives too late to act on.

    The capture window is the shaded part

    It opens eighteen months to two years out, when market research happens and set-aside decisions are made. That is the last point at which anything can be influenced.

    Not every expiry is an opportunity

    Some requirements end, some are absorbed into a vehicle, some are extended. Each record carries an assessment rather than presenting every expiry as a bid.

    And what has not been solicited yet

    Agencies publish what they intend to buy. It lands in dozens of incompatible spreadsheets, which is why almost nobody reads it.

    ForecastsPre-solicitationFY28 and later
    General Services AdministrationAward Q1 FY28
    Construction management, land port of entry
    $100M to $249MNAICS 236220Small business set-aside
    Department of the Air ForceAward Q3 FY28
    Range instrumentation sustainment
    $25M to $50MNAICS 541330Full and open
    NAVSEAAward Q1 FY29
    LSD-class pierside repair
    $50M to $100MNAICS 3366118(a) competitive
    Nothing here is solicited yet, which is the point.

    Normalised into one searchable set

    Estimated value bands, expected award quarters, NAICS and PSC, and the set-aside the agency currently intends. Searchable in plain English alongside every other source.

    Changes between publications are the signal

    A requirement that has moved right three years running is telling you something the current entry does not. Movement is surfaced rather than silently overwritten.

    Frequently asked questions

    How far in advance can you see a government contract?
    Agency procurement forecasts and expiring-contract data typically give 6 to 24 months of notice before a solicitation is published. SamSearch tracks both continuously, so a recompete appears in your pipeline while there is still time to meet the program office, shape the requirement and build a team, rather than the three weeks a published RFP gives you.
    What is a federal recompete?
    A recompete is a contract coming to the end of its period of performance that the agency intends to award again. It is the most predictable work in government contracting, because both the requirement and the incumbent are already known. The difficulty is timing: agencies rarely announce the re-solicitation window, so it has to be inferred from the award data.
    How do you find out who the incumbent is on a contract?
    Incumbency is public in the federal award data, but it is spread across award notices, modifications and spending records. SamSearch builds it into a profile: who holds the contract, what they were paid, how many offers the agency received last time, and how often that agency changes vendor, which is the number that actually tells you whether the recompete is worth chasing.
    Are government procurement forecasts reliable?
    They are directional rather than binding. Agencies publish forecasts of what they intend to buy, and dates and values move. They are still the earliest public signal available, and the value is not in the exact date but in knowing a requirement exists at all while there is time to influence it.
    What does it mean to shape a requirement?
    Shaping is the legitimate work of helping an agency understand what is possible before the requirement is written, through capability briefings, responses to sources-sought notices and requests for information. It is done in the open, and it is why the same companies keep winning: they were in the conversation before the RFP existed.

    Automate the full GovCon cycle

    Each stage runs off the same profile, the same documents and the same pipeline. Click any stage to see how it works.

    • 01Influence
    • 02Capture
    • 03Analyze
    • 04Manage
    • 05Respond
    • 06Finance

    See the whole cycle in one platform.

    Book a 20-minute demo and we will walk your team through the stage that is costing you the most.

    Book a Demo
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